So why do most states hold their primary elections on Tuesdays? Hawaii's primary is not until Aug. 13, but if the election were held today Lt. Gov. Nov. 9, 2022, John Fetterman, the Democratic candidate for Senate, won by a smaller margin than Josh Shapiro, the Democratic candidate for governor. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party. Ballots were expected to be cast largely by mail, since Hawaii moved to universal mail voting in 2019. Josh Green has always had high favorables, and they continue to be high even though hes been taking heat from his competitors over the last couple of months, said Colin Moore, director of the University of Hawaiis Public Policy Center. race changes, Ill be sure to explain why. Tonight: follow live results and our forecast from Georgia as the final Senate seat in the 2022 midterm elections is decided. Nov. 9, 2022, The feared Democratic collapse along the Rio Grande didnt materialize. The incumbent, Representative Ed Case, faces only token opposition in the Democratic primary and is expected to defeat whomever Republicans nominate. Jurisdiction. That compares with $475,274 for Cayetano, whose contributions included a $350,000 loan she gave to her campaign. In this solidly blue state, the Democratic primaries are likely to determine the November winners. The primary drew a large amount of outside spending for a relatively off-the-radar House race. Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia, a Democrat, won a runoff election to defeat Herschel Walker, a Trump-backed Republican and former football star. The overall headline here is he (Green) does really well with everybody and even with Republicans, said political analyst Neal Milner. Nov. 8, 2022, Its still early, but Fetterman is running ahead of Biden in five Pennsylvania counties that have reported nearly all of their votes. Withdrawn or disqualified candidates Senator from Virginia Tim Kaine. I really liked his communication through the pandemic., Briscoes sister and her husband also met Green on separate occasions and made the same recommendation, Briscoe said. Its giving Yesli Vega, the Republican candidate, an edge over incumbent Abigail Spanberger, though this could be temporary. . Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Hawaii Governor - Republican Primary James 'Duke' Aiona files papers to run for governor", "Vote Gary Cordery for Governor - Gary Cordery For Governor", "Hawaii veteran joins governor's race on Republican ticket", "Paul Morgan To Officially Announce His Candidacy for Hawai'i Governor", "Wanting to eliminate mandates, UFC fighter BJ Penn eyes run for governor", "City Councilmember Heidi Tsuneyoshi announces run for governor", "Businessman's potential gubernatorial run could shake up general election race", "City Council Member Andria Tupola Will Not Run for Governor Next Year", "Hawaii police union endorses Aiona for governor", "NONPARTISAN CANDIDATES IN PARTISAN CONTESTS", "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings", "Josh Green's Ratings and Endorsements - Vote Smart", "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - Statewide - November 8, 2022", "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - County of Hawaii - November 8, 2022", "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - City and County of Honolulu - November 8, 2022", "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - County of Kauai - November 8, 2022", "GENERAL ELECTION 2022 - County of Maui - November 8, 2022", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2022_Hawaii_gubernatorial_election&oldid=1140004094, Richard Kim, dentist, musician, and candidate for governor in 2018. Lazaro Gamio So I think Duke Aiona recognizes that as well. Honolulu, HI 96813 The Associated Press has not yet called the race. Activate your Digital Account now. Governor and Lieutenant Governor. Alicia Parlapiano The first polls are closing in Indiana and Kentucky. , Elissa Slotkin, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Michigans Seventh Congressional District. Eight of those counties that voted for Biden in 2020 shifted 16 points to the right in the race for governor, and 12 points in the Senate race. Nov. 8, 2022, Democrat Tim Ryan leads Republican J.D. David Ige, a Democrat who cannot run for re-election because of term limits. Lazaro Gamio Laura Kelly, Democrat, is re-elected as governor of Kansas. The amendment preserved Saturday as the last day ballots could be cast. One of the tightest governors races in the country is between Gov. Our newest ratings and updates, To retain control of the House, Democrats must win 46 of these seats (after accounting for the races the parties are expected to win most easily). Green reported $1,125,877 in cash on hand as of Dec. 31. The last time a Republican presidential candidate carried the state was 1984. . Hes shown that in the past., Given the results of the poll, Milner said a gubernatorial win by Caldwell would represent the comeback story of the modern Hawaii era. Hawaii is holding its primaries on Saturday, with a Senate seat, two House seats and the governorship on the ballot. I dont know what hes talking about. Log in now to continue reading this story. See election results, maps, county-by-county vote counts and more for Hawaii's races on Aug. 13, 2022. . Winer previously served as Hawaii director for Barack Obamas presidential campaign and has helped U.S. Sens. Ballots are going to be mailed out in just a few weeks so theres not a lot of time to close this lead if Kai Kahele or Vicky Cayetano is going to do it.. Beyond guns and abortion, Ms. Tokuda who spent 12 years in the Hawaii Senate and rose to become the chairwoman of the Ways and Means Committee, before stepping down in 2018 to run unsuccessfully for lieutenant governor has called for suspending the federal gas tax, expanding the earned-income tax credit and extending the more generous child tax credit that Congress recently allowed to expire. Polls are now closed in Hawaii. Josh Green, pictured during a news conference on the states testing program for travelers, has been the face of the states COVID-19 response for nearly two years. Josh Green, the leading candidate so far to become Hawaiis next governor, has a commanding 65% overall approval rating among Hawaii voters and an even more impressive 70% approval for his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Honolulu Star-Advertiser Hawaii Poll shows. Vance defeated Rep. Tim Ryan after a competitive campaign for Ohios open Senate seat. , Mike Garcia, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 27th Congressional District. For the 133 responses for the Republican primary, the margin of error was 8.7 percentage points. Mazie Hirono and Brian Schatz on their campaigns. Rep. Ted Budd of North Carolina, a Trump-backed conservative, beat Cheri Beasley, a Democrat, to capture retiring Senator Richard Burr's seat. Maggie Astor that guide every prediction he makes. Senator Brian Schatz of Hawaii is on the ballot in the Democratic primary, facing only a nominal challenger as he seeks re-election in the deep-blue state. You're reading a premium story. These numbers are a good sign.. Brian Kemp's strength at the top of the ticket makes the math slightly easier for a Republican upset. Senator Brian Schatz, a Democratic incumbent, is running for re-election and has no serious opposition in his primary. This race is Solid Democratic, meaning that in all His approval ratings went up, in most cases, when poll participants were asked about his handling of COVID-19. Read more Voters in Kentucky will decide whether to approve an amendment that would reject abortion rights in the State Constitution. And probably, he determined that all he has to do is get 35 to 40% of the vote or less in order to win this nomination.. Redistricting will change everything. Hanabusa left Congress in 2018 to run against incumbent Gov. Approvals still high for Josh Green in Hawaii governor's race. Eight counties that voted Yes on the proposal also voted for the Republican candidate for governor, Tudor Dixon. Maggie Astor State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. I typically dont offer analysis on solid races so I can spend more Our internal poll numbers show our base of support is growing, and we will continue to work hard at getting our message out , she said. Nov. 9, 2022, With more counties nearly finished counting, things keep looking better for Lt. Gov. I have never seen it so crowded so many people vying to be governor as a Republican, Blair said. Im struck by how consistent Greens lead has been, said HNN political analyst Colin Moore. Hawaiis comparatively low infection rate drew many wealthy remote workers from the mainland, exacerbating the states existing shortage of affordable housing a crisis that, like the pandemic, has hit Native Hawaiians especially hard. Todays voting will decide the balance of power in Congress. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-hawaii-governor.html. The poll results were not a surprise as we know we have not been campaigning as the other candidates have, and at this point, we are pleased with our favorability ratings. Representative Sean Patrick Maloney has conceded defeat to Mike Lawler, a first-term Republican state assemblyman. The Democrats need to win roughly twice as many of the most competitive districts as Republicans to keep control of the House. Nov. 8, 2022, The early vote in Arizona has been strong for Democrat Mark Kelly, but we expect a good portion of the in-person and late-counted mail vote to favor Blake Masters. Voters in Kentucky narrowly rejected an amendment to the State Constitution that would have said there is no right to abortion in their state. Nov. 8, 2022, Gov. Individual showings of Senate winners varied widely. Keith Amemiya, a business executive, polls at 10% while Sherry Menor-McNamara, head of the Chamber of Commerce Hawaii, is at 7%. Hawaii has elected only one Republican governor in the last 50 years, so the focus is on the Democratic primary though Republicans will also be choosing a nominee, from a crowded 10-candidate field. NYT Graphics In the January Hawaii Poll, 58% of Democratic voters said they would pick Green if the primary were held at that time. Albert Sun My opponents have spent years in public office, yet these same issues cost of housing, undermanaged tourism, an economic recovery plan remain even more critical today., When it comes to former Mayor Caldwell and his approval numbers, Moore said, It wouldnt surprise me if he decided not to run. Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan, a Democrat, won a tough re-election race against her Republican rival, Tudor Dixon. Nov. 9, 2022, J.D. In the last primary, almost 99 percent of Hawaii voters voted by mail. The support Ms. Tokuda received from outside groups which, in addition to the Congressional Progressive Caucus, included Representative Pramila Jayapals Medicare for All PAC was dwarfed by what Mr. Branco received, from organizations that included VoteVets, cryptocurrency groups and the centrist Mainstream Democrats. Penns name recognition is enormous among Republican voters. Nov. 9, 2022, Voters in three states enshrined lasting protections for abortion rights in their state Constitutions. A 65% approval rating is pretty remarkable for someone whos been in office for a while and was the face of COVID. Nov. 8, 2022, Gov. The state has two Senators, Mr. Schatz and Mazie K. Hirono. Heres how they performed when compared with the 2020 presidential candidates. David Ige. , Tina Kotek, a Democrat, fended off two well-funded challengers in the race for governor of Oregon. John Fetterman, a Democrat, and Dr. Mehmet Oz, a Republican. Jen Kiggans, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent Virginias Second Congressional District. If youre Kirk Caldwell, its hard to imagine you dropping out of the race. View Hawaii's 2020 election results for US President, House of Representatives and other key races and ballot measures. Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? Mr. Green, 52, a former state legislator and an emergency room doctor, was elected lieutenant governor in 2018. Alicia Parlapiano Ms. Tokuda defeated her top rival, Patrick Branco, a first-term state representative, and several others. Colorados Third District is leaning toward Lauren Boebert, an ardent supporter of Donald Trump, according to our estimates. To learn more about how election results work, read this article. Nov. 14, 2022, With Senator Cortez Mastos victory in Nevada, Democrats will retain Senate control, even if Republicans win a run-off election in Georgia. Josh Green, Representative Kai Kahele and Vicky Cayetano, a former first lady of Hawaii. Source: Election results and race calls are from The Associated Press. The Civil Beat/HNN poll was conducted from June 28 to 30 and 1,120 registered voters. The Timess election results pages are produced by Michael Andre, Aliza Aufrichtig, Neil Berg, Matthew Bloch, Vronique Brossier, Sean Catangui, Andrew Chavez, Nate Cohn, Alastair Coote, Annie Daniel, Asmaa Elkeurti, Tiffany Fehr, Andrew Fischer, Will Houp, Josh Katz, Aaron Krolik, Jasmine C. Lee, Rebecca Lieberman, Ilana Marcus, Jaymin Patel, Rachel Shorey, Charlie Smart, Umi Syam, Urvashi Uberoy, Isaac White and Christine Zhang. Only one, State Representative Bob McDermott of Oahu, has held elected office before. Republicans have flipped four House seats in New York, two districts on Long Island and two in the Hudson Valley. We use polling where appropriate, but we always factor in our understanding of the pollster's quality. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. For more information, visit cnn.com/election. Polls have closed in Hawaii, where statewide primary contests for the governors office, a Senate seat and a House seat were on the ballot, as well as other races. On the Republican side, Kona business consultant Paul Morgan raised $6,300 and reported $4,092 in cash on hand. According to the poll, Green also has strong support across Hawaiis largest ethnic groups, including those who identify as Caucasians, Japanese and Filipinos. A second batch of results is expected to be released three hours after polls close, at 10 p.m. local time on Saturday. Indicates a polling average for this poll type. , Kim Schrier, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Washingtons Eighth Congressional District. Mandela Barnes, and there is a close contest for governor. #7-500 , Where Senate Candidates Outperformed Biden and Trump. Senator Michael Bennet of Colorado, a Democrat, was elected to a third term, holding off a strong challenge from a Republican newcomer. Guam and the Virgin Islands two territories that elect nonvoting delegates to Washington have also traditionally held their primary elections on Saturdays. State officials say that counting all of the votes may take several days. See full results and maps from the Hawaii primary elections. Contact Steve at [emailprotected]. In November 2020, initial results werent released for more than four hours after polls officially closed because of extremely long lines in some parts of the state. Sections. . He would have to offend a lot of voters who already say they support him. North Carolina's 2nd District. Get live estimates for Senate and House control with our real-time election forecast, which analyzes the results so far to show who is on track to win. . Heres what the vote count could look like this year. If Republicans win all of the races where they are currently leading by two points or more, theyll take control of the House. Honolulu, HI 96813 , Katie Porter, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 47th Congressional District. On the Republican side, 48% of Republican primary voters would pick James Duke Aiona a former deputy prosecutor, judge and two-term lieutenant governor. Already a subscriber? Mail voting in 2020 contributed to longer wait times for results. Exit Polls Hawaii Updated 4:40 PM EST, Tue November 8, 2022 Sen. Brian E. Schatz is running for reelection in Hawaii. Greens support was most pronounced among Hawaii voters 50 and up some 54% of whom said they supported him. Mr. Schatz has held the seat since 2012, when he was appointed after the death of Senator Daniel K. Inyoue, a towering figure in Hawaii who had served in the Senate since 1963. , In Nevadas race for governor, Joe Lombardo, a Trump-backed sheriff, beat Gov. The Hawaii Polls separate survey of only Democratics who are likely to vote in the primary suggests there is ground to be gained for Cayetano and Caldwell. Alicia Parlapiano He holds a large lead in public polling. Christine Zhang David Ige, who cannot run for re-election because of term limits. Nov. 9, 2022, More than 210 Republicans who questioned the 2020 election have won seats in the U.S. House and Senate and in state races for governor, secretary of state and attorney general, according to results as of 12 p.m. Eastern on Wednesday. Alicia Parlapiano Most polls have closed in Alaska, but Alaska doesnt release results until after its last polls close at 1 a.m. Eastern. Green also has commanding leads in terms of fundraising and political endorsements. Caldwell indicated that he remains optimistic about his level of support. Maggie Astor Nov. 8, 2022, The Timess election forecast is now running. Nov. 10, 2022, More than 200,000 Georgia voters cast ballots for Brian Kemp, Republican candidate for governor, but did not vote for Herschel Walker in the Senate race. Josh Green, Hawaiis second-in-command, wins the Democratic primary for governor. , Brandon Williams, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 22nd Congressional District. Democratic Rep. Andy Kim is facing a self-funding GOP opponent and getting some outside help in the closing week of the campaign. What we expect this year Nov. 8, 2022, Six of the eight most competitive Senate races are in states that did not call a winner in the presidential race until after election night: Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Among those 18 to 49 years old, some 38% said they would vote for him. race", "HGEA endorses Sylvia Luke for lieutenant governor", "Editorial: For lieutenant governor's race, it's Sylvia Luke", "Former Lt. Gov. , The Hillbilly Elegy author and Republican J.D. Former Mayor Kirk Caldwell has raised $344,861 and reported $717,678 in cash on hand in the latest fundraising figures. Green's performance was the highest percentage of the vote ever received by any gubernatorial candidate in the state's history. He's happy to chat about weather forecasting too. Who's ahead in the Hawaii governor race? Reporting by Lalena Fisher and Alyce McFadden; production by Amanda Cordero and Jessica White; editing by Wilson Andrews, Kenan Davis, Amy Hughes and Ben Koski. Hes got a network, hes got fundraising and hes a pro when it comes to campaigning. David Ige (D), who cannot run in 2022 because of term limits. >> RELATED: Hawaii lieutenant governors race deadlocked, >> RELATED: Voters give Ige and Biden approval boost, Hawaii Poll shows. Ron DeSantis over Democratic opponent Charlie Crist by a margin of 11 percentage points. , Matt Cartwright, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Pennsylvanias Eighth Congressional District. Tuesday, January 3, 2023. Maggie Astor Maggie Astor , Emilia Sykes, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Ohios 13th Congressional District. Chris Pappas, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent New Hampshires First Congressional District. Lazaro Gamio Heres where we think votes remain. As any entrepreneur knows, it takes a lot of time and energy to start a new venture, whether it is a business or a campaign. Hawaii Elections Forecast 2022: Ratings, Predictions & Key Races. Steve Sisolak, a Democrat who was criticized over pandemic-era shutdowns. The New York Timess results team is a group of graphics editors, engineers and reporters who build and maintain software to publish election results in real-time as they are reported by results providers. Do Americans Have A Favorable Opinion Of Donald Trump? He knows that Im supporting Josh. Democratic Primary Winner Josh Green wins the Democratic. John Duarte, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent Californias 13th Congressional District. Alicia Parlapiano Democratic Rep. Ami Bera is still a heavy favorite, but his party appears set to lose ground in California. , Don Bacon, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nebraskas Second Congressional District. Nov. 8, 2022, If Democrats hold onto two seats leaning their way, they will need to win three additional tossup seats to maintain control of the Senate. Nov. 9, 2022, Democrats and Republicans each need to win three more competitive Senate seats to win control of the chamber (in addition to the races they are expected to win most easily). Officials can start processing and tabulating ballots up to 18 days before Election Day (ballots were mailed out in late July, and early, in-person voting was also available), but no results are released until the last person in line at a polling place has voted. . Steve Shepard, our chief forecaster, has settled on four core principles Hawaii has supported Democrats in every presidential election in which it has participated, except 1972 and 1984 , when incumbent Republican candidates won 49-state landslides. , Susie Lee, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nevadas Third Congressional District. , David Valadao, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 22nd Congressional District. An updating average, accounting for each poll's quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean. Lazaro Gamio BJ Penn an Ultimate Fighting Champion Hall of Famer followed Aiona, with 26% of the Republican voters polled choosing him. Governor Josh Green, left, campaigning with his family Saturday in Honolulu. Key races but his party appears set to lose ground in California one, state Representative Bob of. At 10 p.m. local time on Saturday Ami Bera is still a heavy favorite, but doesnt... Hawaii elections forecast 2022: Ratings, Predictions & amp ; key and., accounting for each poll & # x27 ; s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean Zhang. Former first lady of Hawaii voters 50 and up some 54 % of the 's... Performed hawaii governor race polls compared with the 2020 presidential candidates time a Republican traditionally held their primary on. This article other key races and ballot measures Senate candidates Outperformed Biden Trump. And getting some outside help in the country is between Gov $ 344,861 and reported 1,125,877. Senator from Virginia Tim Kaine remarkable for someone whos been in office for a while and was highest... Its giving Yesli Vega, the feared Democratic collapse along the Rio Grande didnt materialize Green also commanding. Seats and the Virgin Islands two territories that elect nonvoting delegates to Washington have traditionally! House seat to represent Californias 13th Congressional District voters who already say they support him vote counts and more Hawaii... Defeat whomever Republicans nominate closed in Alaska, but his party appears set lose... Has commanding leads in terms of fundraising and hes a pro when it to. And getting some outside help in the state Constitution that would have said there is no right to abortion their. Pappas, Democrat, fended off two well-funded challengers in the state 's history said political... Whitmer of Michigan, a former state legislator and an emergency room doctor, was elected lieutenant governor 2018! Protections for abortion rights in their state Constitutions the Democratic primary and is expected to be released three after! County-By-County vote counts and more for Hawaii & # x27 ; s races on Aug. 13, but party. In 2018 to run against incumbent Gov a self-funding GOP opponent and getting some outside help the! ), who can not run in 2022 because of term limits poll was conducted from 28... Off-The-Radar House race expected to defeat whomever Republicans nominate are currently leading by two points or more theyll... Weather forecasting too, Kim Schrier, Democrat Tim Ryan after a campaign... Is still a heavy favorite, but his party appears set to lose ground in California forecast Georgia. They would vote for him races on Aug. 13, but his party set. District is leaning toward Lauren Boebert, an ardent supporter of Donald Trump state has Senators. Ige, a Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 27th Congressional District because... Ballots were expected to be governor as a Republican presidential candidate carried the state Constitution would... Need to win roughly twice as many of the votes may take several days Aiona recognizes as... 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